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2016 Texas Democratic primary

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Texas Democratic primary, 2016

← 2012 March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01) 2020 →
 
Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 147 75
Popular vote 936,004 476,547
Percentage 65.19% 33.19%

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Texas results by county
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
  Tie

The 2016 Texas Democratic primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Texas as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Texas primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton
65.2%
Bernie Sanders
33.2%
Others
1.6%
Emerson[1]

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 275

February 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton
68%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Others / Undecided
6%
American Research Group[2]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

February 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
4%
YouGov/CBS News[3]

Margin of error: ± 6.9%
Sample size: 750

February 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
37%
Others / Undecided
2%
Monmouth[4]

Margin of error: ± 5.6
Sample size: 304

February 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
64%
Bernie Sanders
30%
Others / Undecided
6%
Emerson College[5]

Margin of error: ± 5.4
Sample size: 328

February 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
4%
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl[6]

Margin of error: ± 4.9
Sample size: 405

February 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
59%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
3%
KTVT-CBS 11[7]

Margin of error: ± 3.8
Sample size: 675

February 22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
29%
Others / Undecided
10%
TEGNA/SurveyUSA[8]

Margin of error: ± 4.1
Sample size: 569

February 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided
7%
Austin American-Statesman[9]

Margin of error: ± 5.0
Sample size: 411

February 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
66%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Others / Undecided
8%
UT/TT[10]

Margin of error: ±4.57
Sample Size: ? Dem Voters

February 12–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Rocky de la Fuente
2%
Martin O'Malley 1%
Willie Wilson 1%
Public Policy Polling[11]

Margin of error: ± 4.3
Sample size: 514

February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
34%
Polls in 2015
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[12]

Margin of error ± 4.57%
Sample Size: 459

October 30 – November 8, 2015 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
30%
Martin O'Malley 1% Lawrence Lessig 0% No Opinion 7%
CBS-DFW[13]

Margin of error: ± 3.09%
Sample size: 1008

October 23–24, 2015 Hillary Clinton
59%
Bernie Sanders
10%
Martin O'Malley
3%
Undecided 28%
Texas Lyceum[14]

Margin of error: ± 7.15%
Sample size: 185

September 8–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton
36%
Bernie Sanders
24%
Joe Biden
15%
Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Lincoln Chafee 0% Undecided 23%
UoT/Texas Tribune[15]

Margin of error: ± 4.58%
Sample size: 457

June 5–14, 2015 Hillary Clinton
53%
Bernie Sanders
15%
Joe Biden
8%
Elizabeth Warren 8%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 1% Undecided 12%
UoT/Texas Tribune[16]

Margin of error: ± 4.89%
Sample size: 401

February 6–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
62%
Elizabeth Warren
12%
Joe Biden
6%
Bernie Sanders 5%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Undecided 14%
Polls in 2014
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
UoT/Texas Tribune

Margin of error: ± 4.73%
Sample size: 429

October 10–19, 2014 Hillary Clinton
60%
Elizabeth Warren
13%
Joe Biden
10%
Andrew Cuomo 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Undecided 13%
UoT/Texas Tribune

Margin of error: ± 4.75%
Sample size: 426

May 30 – June 8, 2014 Hillary Clinton
64%
Elizabeth Warren
15%
Joe Biden
8%
Andrew Cuomo 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Undecided 10%
Polls in 2013
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
UoT/Texas Tribune

Margin of error: ± 4.82%
Sample size: 414

October 18–29, 2013 Hillary Clinton
67%
Joe Biden
7%
Elizabeth Warren
5%
Andrew Cuomo 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Don't Know 17%
UoT/Texas Tribune

Margin of error: ± 5.89%
Sample size: 376

May 31 – June 9, 2013 Hillary Clinton
66%
Joe Biden
11%
Andrew Cuomo
1%
Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Don't Know 19%

Results

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 75

Texas Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 936,004 65.19% 147 21 168
Bernie Sanders 476,547 33.19% 75 0 75
Rocky De La Fuente 8,429 0.59%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 5,364 0.37%
Willie Wilson 3,254 0.23%
Keith Judd 2,569 0.18%
Calvis L. Hawes 2,017 0.14%
Star Locke 1,711 0.12%
Uncommitted N/A 0 8 8
Total 1,435,895 100% 222 29 251
Source: The Green Papers, Texas Secretary of State

Results by county

County[17] Clinton % Sanders %
Anderson 996 75.6% 299 22.7%
Andrews 76 66.1% 38 33.0%
Angelina 1,950 73.7% 622 23.5%
Aransas 488 63.1% 272 35.1%
Archer 99 58.9% 64 38.1%
Armstrong 1 20.0% 4 80.0%
Atascosa 1,355 71.7% 478 25.3%
Austin 492 73.4% 165 24.6%
Bailey 84 71.2% 29 24.6%
Bandera 378 55.4% 294 43.1%
Bastrop 2,896 59.0% 1,950 39.8%
Bland 46 61.3% 24 32.0%
Bee 1,133 75.1% 320 21.2%
Bell 7,430 69.9% 3,090 29.1%
Bexar 76,533 66.8% 36,750 32.1%
Blanco 284 54.9% 232 44.9%
Borden 4 80.0% 1 20.0%
Bosque 353 62.6% 199 35.3%
Bowie 2,437 76.7% 687 21.6%
Brazoria 8,009 69.6% 3,721 28.6%
Brazos 3,561 49.1% 3,589 49.5%
Brewster 701 43.7% 771 48.1%
Briscoe 16 57.1% 11 32.3%
Brooks 1,603 74.4% 362 16.8%
Brown 319 58.5% 212 38.9%
Burleson 469 74.0% 149 23.5%
Burnet 878 59.4% 580 39.3%
Caldwell 1,543 66.1% 742 31.8%
Calhoun 709 66.6% 305 28.6%
Callahan 87 44.2% 104 52.8%
Cameron 20,332 68.2% 8,320 27.9%
Camp 484 76.6% 134 21.2%
Carson 50 62.5% 30 37.5%
Cass 778 73.1% 265 24.9%
Castro 127 73.9% 40 23.3%
Chambers 688 67.9% 295 29.1%
Cherokee 990 74.2% 324 24.3%
Childress 54 58.7% 34 37.0%
Clay 120 62.5% 65 33.9%
Cochran 4 50.0% 3 37.5%
Coke 25 48.1% 25 48.1%
Coleman 75 60.0% 49 39.2%
Collin 23,670 59.1% 16,171 40.4%
Collingsworth 36 59.0% 24 39.3%
Colorado 474 74.8% 150 23.7%
Comal 3,112 60.0% 2,027 39.1%
Comanche 221 63.5% 117 33.6%
Concho 27 69.2% 11 28.2%
Cooke 449 56.4% 334 42.0%
Coryell 1,010 62.7% 577 35.8%
Cottle 27 57.5% 18 38.3%
Crane 62 66.0% 24 25.5%
Crockett 266 37.7% 240 34.0%
Crosby 131 58.2% 91 40.4%
Culberson 358 62.2% 160 27.8%
Dallam 24 61.5% 13 33.3%
Dallas 113,664 71.5% 44,275 27.8%
Dawson 92 70.2% 34 26.0%
Deaf Smith 200 67.8% 86 29.2%
Delta 110 67.9% 51 31.5%
Denton 16,491 50.7% 15,781 48.6%
Dewitt 293 70.3% 113 27.1%
Dickens 13 52.0% 11 44.0%
Dimmit 1,804 68.9% 534 20.4%
Donley 35 47.8% 35 50.7%
Duval 2,273 76.2% 523 17.5%
Eastland 171 55.7% 122 39.7%
Ector 1,855 64.9% 942 33.0%
Edwards 42 57.5% 27 37.0%
Ellis 3,725 69.5% 1,568 29.2%
El Paso 36,140 66.0% 17,234 31.5%
Erath 427 52.5% 365 44.9%
Falls 551 91.4% 115 17.0%
Fannin 507 63.0% 279 34.7%
Fayette 584 63.9% 309 33.8%
Fisher 226 53.3% 146 34.4%
Floyd 60 65.9% 24 26.4%
Foard 80 34.3% 112 48.1%
Fort Bend 29,259 74.6% 9,774 24.9%
Franklin 164 67.8% 73 30.2%
Freestone 380 76.8% 102 20.6%
Frio 1,864 67.7% 630 22.9%
Gaines 91 55.8% 59 36.2%
Galveston 9,466 68.2% 4,241 30.6%
Garza 35 56.5% 22 35.5%
Gillespie 493 60.9% 314 38.8%
Glasscock 4 50.0% 4 50.0%
Goliad 389 66.4% 151 25.8%
Gonzales 368 72.3% 129 25.3%
Gray 111 53.9% 86 41.8%
Grayson 1,940 52.8% 1,687 45.9%
Gregg 3,423 78.0% 911 20.8%
Grimes 584 73.2% 201 25.2%
Guadalupe 3,793 63.9% 2,067 34.8%
Hale 312 60.4% 176 34.0%
Hall 63 64.3% 28 28.6%
Hamilton 115 56.5% 84 40.2%
Hansford 21 58.3% 13 36.1%
Hardeman 71 39.4% 88 48.9%
Hardin 625 59.5% 398 27.9%
Harris 157,000 70.5% 63,416 28.5%
Harrison 2,046 76.9% 530 19.9%
Hartley 19 55.8% 19 36.5%
Haskell 159 58.7% 92 34.3%
Hays 6,634 46.9% 7,322 51.8%
Hemphill 15 65.2% 8 34.8%
Henderson 1,593 71.6% 598 26.9%
Hidalgo 40,308 69.1% 15,907 27.3%
Hill 718 69.1% 297 28.6%
Hockley 183 58.3% 116 36.9%
Hood 928 62.6% 527 35.6%
Houston 464 80.0% 101 17.4%
Howard 351 63.5% 192 34.7%
Hudspeth 99 39.9% 97 39.1%
Hunt 1,329 60.5% 849 38.6%
Hutchinson 153 55.8% 103 37.6%
Irion 28 65.1% 14 32.6%
Jack 87 62.1% 46 32.9%
Jackson 266 70.6% 94 24.9%
Jasper 932 75.7% 270 21.9%
Jeff Davis 140 49.5% 132 46.6%
Jefferson 16,589 76.9% 4,441 20.6%
Jim Hogg 1,421 75.0% 356 18.8%
Jim Wells 4,697 71.7% 1,436 21.9%
Johnson 2,271 58.5% 1,566 40.4%
Jones 173 63.1% 95 34.7%
Karnes 726 53.0% 479 34.9%
Kaufman 2,234 69.6% 951 29.6%
Kendall 641 56.2% 491 43.0%
Kenedy 63 59.4% 32 30.2%
Kent 22 36.7% 28 46.7%
Kerr 1,020 58.4% 709 40.6%
Kimble 29 44.6% 34 52.3%
King 2 66.7% 1 33.3%
Kinney 211 60.8% 107 30.8%
Kleberg 1,740 70.7% 630 25.6%
Knox 68 71.6% 17 17.9%
Lamar 924 69.3% 388 29.1%
Lamb 172 53.3% 87 26.9%
Lampasas 324 59.8% 207 38.2%
Lavaca 322 68.5% 137 29.2%
Lee 367 65.4% 180 32.1%
Leon 289 74.3% 89 22.9%
Liberty 1,043 71.3% 383 26.2%
Limestone 592 79.1% 144 19.3%
Lipscomb 22 64.7% 11 32.4%
Live Oak 203 67.4% 73 24.3%
Llano 519 64.8% 267 33.3%
Loving 3 25.0% 5 41.7%
Lubbock 5,782 57.3% 4,137 41.0%
Lynn 14 58.3% 10 41.7%
Madison 227 75.2% 70 23.2%
Martin 36 59.0% 17 27.9%
Mason 89 62.7% 50 35.2%
Matagorda 1,088 74.2% 344 23.5%
Maverick 4,343 69.5% 1,508 24.2%
McCulloch 93 66.0% 43 30.5%
McLennan 5,531 67.0% 2,633 31.9%
McMullen 4 80.0% 1 20.0%
Medina 1,073 69.7% 436 28.3%
Menard 23 56.1% 16 39.0%
Midland 1,556 63.1% 854 34.6%
Milam 577 67.8% 252 29.6%
Mills 50 53.2% 41 43.6%
Mitchell 109 73.2% 33 22.2%
Montague 153 54.3% 122 43.3%
Montgomery 7,540 59.5% 5,040 39.8%
Moore 149 59.9% 81 32.5%
Morris 488 71.4% 169 24.7%
Motley 13 68.4% 6 31.6%
Nacogdoches 1,600 65.2% 829 33.8%
Navarro 957 72.5% 334 25.3%
Newton 605 44.2% 529 40.4%
Nolan 270 65.5% 122 29.6%
Nueces 15,671 70.5% 6,175 27.8%
Ochiltree 36 53.7% 29 43.3%
Oldham 11 68.8% 4 25.0%
Orange 1,852 68.1% 816 30.0%
Palo Pinto 361 59.5% 230 37.9%
Panola 559 80.1% 130 18.6%
Parker 1,808 54.6% 1,475 44.5%
Parmer 82 72.6% 26 23.0%
Pecos 816 55.4% 488 33.2%
Polk 860 71.1% 326 26.9%
Potter 1,490 56.5% 1,094 41.5%
Presidio 776 57.4% 447 33.1%
Rains 173 64.3% 89 33.1%
Randall 1,591 51.0% 1,489 47.7%
Reagan 12 63.2% 7 36.8%
Real 28 53.9% 23 44.2%
Red River 378 70.1% 87 18.2%
Reeves 1,128 59.6% 563 29.7%
Refugio 549 64.1% 254 29.7%
Roberts 3 60.0% 2 40.0%
Robertson 896 70.9% 289 22.9%
Rockwall 1,726 59.5% 1,046 36.1%
Runnels 80 57.6% 55 39.6%
Rusk 1,114 78.1% 276 19.4%
Sabine 192 66.4% 82 28.4%
San Augustine 368 83.1% 62 14.0%
San Jacinto 562 72.1% 193 24.7%
San Patricio 2,638 73.2% 850 23.6%
San Saba 58 67.4% 27 31.4%
Schleicer 58 64.4% 24 26.7%
Scurry 154 61.6% 85 34.0%
Shackelford 15 50.0% 14 46.7%
Shelby 346 77.8% 90 20.2%
Sherman 19 61.3% 8 25.8%
Smith 5,778 73.5% 2,003 25.5%
Somervell 66 49.3% 67 50/0%
Starr 6,936 77.8% 1,635 18.3%
Stephens 45 55.6% 35 43.2%
Sterling 5 50.0% 4 40.0%
Stonewall 59 57.8% 36 35.3%
Sutton 27 69.2% 10 25.6%
Swisher 141 60.5% 78 33.5%
Tarrant 68,044 65.2% 35,733 34.2%
Taylor 1,794 54.6% 1,427 43.4%
Terrell 67 43.5% 64 41.6%
Terry 141 59.0% 83 34.7%
Throckmorton 26 61.9% 16 38.1%
Titus 552 71.3% 197 25.5%
Tom Green 1,657 55.9% 1,239 41.8%
Travis 69,446 48.2% 74,068 51.4%
Trinity 333 71.8% 117 25.2%
Tyler 453 74.3% 372 22.8%
Upshur 725 71.7% 269 26.6%
Upton 91 55.8% 45 27.6%
Uvalde 1,744 63.4% 762 27.7%
Val Verde 1,776 65.8% 765 28.3%
Van Zandt 722 64.1% 377 33.5%
Victoria 2,206 64.5% 1,119 32.7%
Walker 1,292 61.3% 789 37.4%
Waller 1,221 67.4% 559 30.9%
Ward 306 62.2% 147 29.9%
Washington 782 73.0% 278 25.9%
Webb 18,559 71.9% 6,177 23.9%
Wharton 961 76.5% 224 18.3%
Wheeler 37 59.7% 23 37.1%
Wichita 1,958 55.5% 1,524 43.2%
Wilbarger 136 61.5% 75 33.9%
Willacy 2,081 70.0% 660 22.2%
Williamson 16,396 52.7% 14,554 46.7%
Wilson 1,282 71.5% 481 26.8%
Winkler 30 69.8% 11 25.6%
Wise 751 56.2% 558 41.8%
Wood 663 68.7% 285 29.5%
Yoakum 9 42.9% 10 47.6%
Young 201 58.8% 132 38.6%
Zapata 1,973 67.9% 685 23.6%
Zavala 1,557 75.5% 373 18.1%
Total 936,004 65.2% 476,547 33.2%

Analysis

Clinton won the Texas primary by a landslide margin of over thirty points, thanks in large part to support from Hispanic/Latinos (whom she won by a margin of 71-29 over Bernie Sanders), African American voters (whom she won 83-15) and white women (63-35 over Sanders).[18] Clinton won all of the major cities (Fort Worth, Dallas, El Paso, San Antonio, and Houston, and Corpus Christi) except for Austin where Sanders won only narrowly.

Sanders won few counties outside of Travis County. He won neighboring Hays County, home to another prominent college, Texas State University in San Marcos. Sanders also managed to very narrowly edge out Clinton in Brazos County, home to College Station and Texas A&M University, by 28 votes. In all three counties mentioned above, Sanders performed worse than Barack Obama did in the 2008 Texas Democratic primary and caucuses, despite all three containing a bloc of young voters, a demographic Sanders usually performs well in.

The rest of Sanders's victories came from 11 sparsely populated counties where Republicans have performed strongly in the past several elections. His strongest performance came from the Texas Panhandle in Armstrong County, where he won 80% of the vote, 4 votes to Clinton's 1. Two counties in particular, Glasscock and Coke, had Sanders and Clinton tie.[19]

References

  1. ^ "EMERSON POLL: CRUZ CLINGS TO NARROW LEAD IN TEXAS; TRUMP ROMPS IN BAY STATE, CLINTON PULLS AWAY FROM SANDERS" (PDF).
  2. ^ "Texas Democratic Presidential Primary".
  3. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerTexas".
  4. ^ "TEXAS: CRUZ, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES" (PDF).
  5. ^ "2016 Texas Republican Presidential Primary – Cruz 29%, Trump 28% (Emerson College Polling Society 2/21-2/23)" (PDF).
  6. ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll" (PDF).
  7. ^ "Cruz Increases Lead In TX Against Trump In KTVT-CBS 11 / Dixie Strategies Poll".
  8. ^ "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22696" (PDF).
  9. ^ "Cruz, Clinton still lead in Texas".
  10. ^ Ramsey, Ross. "UT/TT Poll: Clinton Still Leads in Texas, But Margin Has Narrowed, by Ross Ramsey". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved 2016-02-23.
  11. ^ "Subject: Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support" (PDF).
  12. ^ "Texas Statewide Survey" (PDF). University of Texas / Texas Tribune. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
  13. ^ "Carson Leads Trump Slightly In Texas KTVT-CBS 11 Dixie Strategies Poll". cbslocal.com.
  14. ^ "Texas Lyceum Poll Results: 2015 Texas Statewide Survey" (PDF). texaslyceum.org. Retrieved 2015-10-01.
  15. ^ "TX Tribune" (PDF). amazonaws.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  16. ^ "Texas Statewide Survey" (PDF). Retrieved 22 January 2016.
  17. ^ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist233_countyselect.htm
  18. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-07-18.
  19. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
This page was last edited on 16 October 2019, at 07:21
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