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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2010 Minnesota U.S. House of Representatives elections took place on November 2, 2010. All eight congressional seats that make up the state's delegation were contested. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected will serve in the 112th United States Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013.
The 2010 Minnesota gubernatorial, 2010 Minnesota House elections and 2010 Minnesota Senate elections occurred on the same date, as well as many local elections and ballot initiatives.
The 111th congressional delegation from the U.S. state of Minnesota had five Democratic Farmer Labor Party members (DFLers) and 3 Republicans. All the incumbents ran successfully for re-election, except District 8's Jim Oberstar, who was defeated in his bid for a 19th term. This left Minnesota with an even number of Democratic and Republican representatives.
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Transcription
Overview
The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Minnesota.
Statewide
| Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Democratic-Farmer-Labor | 8 | 1,002,026 | 47.93 | 4 |  1
|
50.00 | |
| Republican | 8 | 970,741 | 46.43 | 4 |  1
|
50.00 | |
| Independence | 7 | 84,816 | 4.05 | 0 | 
|
0.0 | |
| Independent | 5 | 23,387 | 1.12 | 0 |
|
0.0 | |
| Constitution | 1 | 2,492 | 0.11 | 0 |
|
0.0 | |
| Write-in | 8 | 1,639 | 0.08 | 0 |
|
0.0 | |
| Total | 37 | 2,090,591 | 100.0 | 8 |
|
100.0 | |
By district
Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:[1]
| District | Democratic | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 122,365 | 49.34% | 109,242 | 44.05% | 16,398 | 6.61% | 248,005 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 2 | 104,809 | 36.59% | 181,341 | 63.30% | 303 | 0.11% | 286,453 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 100,240 | 36.57% | 161,177 | 58.80% | 12,675 | 4.62% | 274,092 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 4 | 136,746 | 59.09% | 80,141 | 34.63% | 14,539 | 6.28% | 231,426 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 5 | 154,833 | 67.69% | 55,222 | 24.14% | 18,691 | 8.17% | 228,746 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 6 | 120,846 | 39.79% | 159,476 | 52.51% | 23,369 | 7.70% | 303,691 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 7 | 133,096 | 55.20% | 90,652 | 37.60% | 17,349 | 7.20% | 241,097 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 8 | 129,091 | 46.59% | 133,490 | 48.18% | 14,500 | 5.23% | 277,081 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
| Total | 1,002,026 | 47.93% | 970,741 | 46.43% | 117,824 | 5.64% | 2,090,591 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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 Precinct results Walz: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Demmer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election.[2] He was re-elected with 62.5% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of R+1.
No primary elections were held in the 1st congressional district in 2010.[3]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Randy Demmer, state representative and candidate for this seat in 2008[5][6]
Withdrawn
- Jim Engstrand, Minnesota Army National Guard Lieutenant Colonel and Iraq veteran[7]
- Jim Hagedorn, former congressional affairs officer for the Bureau of Engraving and Printing and son of former U.S. Representative Tom Hagedorn[8][9]
- Frank McKinzie, veteran
- Allen Quist, former state representative and candidate for governor in 1994 & 1998[10]
Campaign
Shortly after launching his campaign Quist attracted controversy for a speech he gave at a Christmas Party of the Wabasha County Republicans on December 7, in which he said:
""Our country is being destroyed. Every generation has had to fight the fight for freedom… Terrorism? Yes. That's not the big battle," he said. "The big battle is in D.C. with the radicals. They aren’t liberals. They are radicals. Obama, Pelosi, Walz: They’re not liberals, they’re radicals. They are destroying our country." [11]
Quist would also speak against the Affordable Health Care for America Act in the same speech saying "This is the most insidious, evil piece of legislation I have ever seen in my life… Every one of us has to be totally committed to killing this travesty… I have to kill this bill."[11]
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Wilson, state department diplomat and former Republican candidate for state senator in 2006[12]
Independents
- Lars Johnson, food safety certification trainer
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Walz (DFL) |
Randy Demmer (R) |
Steven Wilson (IP) |
Lars Johnson (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | October 22–26, 2010 | 558 (LV) | ±4.2% | 50% | 41% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Grove Insight (D) | October 18–19, 2010 | 400 (LV) | ±4.9% | 50% | 34% | 5% | 13% | |
| Survey USA | October 12–14, 2010 | 584 (LV) | ±4.1% | 47% | 42% | 4% | 2% | 5% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[14] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
| RCP[16] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Lean D | October 28, 2010 |
| New York Times[18] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight[18] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
Results
Walz won the general election on November 2, 2010, with 49% of the vote to Demmer's 44%.[19]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Tim Walz (Incumbent) | 122,365 | 49.3 | |
| Republican | Randy Demmer | 109,242 | 44.1 | |
| Independence | Steve Wilson | 13,242 | 5.3 | |
| Party Free | Lars Johnson | 3,054 | 1.2 | |
| Write-in | 102 | 0.0 | ||
| Total votes | 248,005 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
- External links
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Race Profile at The New York Times
District 2
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 Precinct results Kline: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Madore: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57.3% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of R+4.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Kline, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Kline (Incumbent) | 16,151 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 16,151 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Shelley Madore, former state representative
Eliminated in primary
Campaign
Despite losing the DFL endorsement to Powers, Madore remained in the race much to the anger of a number of party loyalists[22] She was boosted by questions being raised about Powers' résumé.[23]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Shelley Madore | 19,990 | 54.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Dan Powers | 16,528 | 45.3 | |
| Total votes | 36,518 | 100.0 | ||
General Election
Predictions
CQ Politics rated the seat as 'Safe Republican'.
Results
Kline won the general election on November 2, 2010, 63%-37%.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Kline (Incumbent) | 181,341 | 63.3 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Shelley Madore | 104,809 | 36.6 | |
| Write-in | 303 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 286,453 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
- External links
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Race Profile at The New York Times
District 3
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 Precinct results Paulsen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Meffert: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was elected with 48.5% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of Even.
No primary elections were held in the 3rd congressional district in 2010.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Erik Paulsen, incumbent U.S. Representative
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Meffert, former President of the Minnesota Parent-Teacher Association[24]
Withdrawn
- Maureen Hackett, Air Force veteran and forensic psychiatrist[25]
Declined
- Terri Bonoff, state senator and candidate for this seat in 2008[26][27]
General Election
Campaign
Though Meffert lacked the funds to be able to afford television advertising, he gained some name recognition through television attack ads from the Paulsen campaign.[28][29][30] Political analyst Dave Schultz said that "Given how little money that Meffert has, you would've thought Paulsen would've just ignored Meffert completely and just run a positive campaign." Meffert responded to the attack, saying "It's the kind of thing that makes people cynical about politics and politicians. When you hide behind a big bank account and you throw up an ad that's designed to tear down your opponent."[31] After the Paulsen campaign included a misleading graph in a mailing, Meffert filed an ethics complaint against Paulsen.[32][33]
Predictions
CQ Politics rated the seat as 'Safe Republican'.
Results
Paulsen won the general election on November 2, 2010, 59%-37%.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Erik Paulsen (Incumbent) | 161,177 | 58.8 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Jim Meffert | 100,240 | 36.6 | |
| Independence | Jon Olseon | 12,508 | 4.6 | |
| Write-in | 167 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 274,092 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
- External links
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Race Profile at The New York Times
District 4
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 Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Collett: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of D+13.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Betty McCollum, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (Incumbent) | 55,491 | 86.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Diana Longrie | 8,622 | 13.4 | |
| Total votes | 64,113 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Teresa Collett, law professor at the University of St. Thomas
Eliminated in primary
- Jack Shepard, fugitive, alleged arsonist, and former Minneapolis dentist (who fled the country after allegedly attempting to burn down his own dental office)[34]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Teresa Collett | 6,949 | 67.2 | |
| Republican | Jack Shepard | 3,392 | 32.8 | |
| Total votes | 10,341 | 100.0 | ||
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Steve Carlson, consultant and writer
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence | Steve Carlson | 1,550 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 1,550 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
CQ Politics rated the seat as 'Safe Democratic'.
Results
McCollum won the general election on November 2, 2010, 59%-35%.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (Incumbent) | 136,746 | 59.1 | |
| Republican | Teresa Collett | 80,141 | 34.6 | |
| Independence | Steve Carlson | 14,207 | 6.1 | |
| Write-in | 332 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 231,426 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
- External links
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Race Profile at The New York Times
District 5
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 Precinct results Ellison: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Demos: 50–60% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. Ellison is the first Muslim to be elected to the United States Congress. He was re-elected with 67.7% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of D+23.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Keith Ellison, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Gregg A. Iverson
- Barb Davis White, minister, author, and civil rights activist
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (Incumbent) | 55,424 | 81.6 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Barb Davis White | 7,963 | 11.7 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Gregg A. Iverson | 4,575 | 6.7 | |
| Total votes | 67,962 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Joel Demos, banker
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Joel Demos | 4,975 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 4,975 | 100.0 | ||
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Schrunk
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence | Tom Schrunk | 1,202 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 1,202 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
CQ Politics rated the seat as 'Safe Democratic'.
Results
Ellison won the general election on November 2, 2010, 68%-24%.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Keith Ellison (Incumbent) | 154,833 | 67.7 | |
| Republican | Joel Demos | 55,222 | 24.1 | |
| Independent | Lynne Torgerson | 8,548 | 3.7 | |
| Independence | Tom Schrunk | 7,446 | 3.3 | |
| Independent | Michael James Cavlan | 2,468 | 1.1 | |
| Write-in | 229 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 228,746 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
- External links
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Race Profile at The New York Times
District 6
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 Precinct results Bachmann: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >90% Clark: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Michele Bachmann, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election.[35][36] She was re-elected with 46.4% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of R+7.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Michele Bachmann, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michele Bachmann (Incumbent) | 17,237 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 17,237 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Democrat Tarryl Clark, the state Senate assistant majority leader, received the endorsement of the DFL Party and was the sole Democratic challenger to Bachmann's seat, Maureen Reed having dropped out of the race in June 2010. Reed, a former University of Minnesota regent chair and a physician, threw her support behind Clark saying she felt "it is time for the DFL to unify behind one candidate in this race".[37][38][39]
Candidates
Nominee
- Tarryl Clark, state senator and assistant majority leader of the Minnesota State Senate
Eliminated in primary
- Maureen Kennedy Reed, physician and chair of the Board of Regents of the University of Minnesota
Withdrawn
- Elwyn Tinklenberg, former Minnesota Commissioner of Transportation and nominee for this seat in 2008[40]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Tarryl Clark | 28,185 | 69.1 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Maureen Kennedy Reed | 12,603 | 30.9 | |
| Total votes | 40,788 | 100.0 | ||
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Bob Anderson, dental technician
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence | Bob Anderson | 1,418 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 1,418 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Michele Bachmann (R) |
Tarryl Clark (DFL) |
Bob Anderson (IP) |
Aubrey Immelsman (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | September 15, 2010 | 582 (LV) | ±4.1% | 49% | 40% | 6% | 1% | 4% |
| Survey USA | July 9–11, 2010 | 565 (LV) | ±4.2% | 48% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2009 | 719 (RV) | ±3.7% | 55% | 37% | – | – | 8% |
Hypothetical polling
Bachmann vs. Reed
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Michele Bachmann (R) |
Maureen Reed (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2009 | 719 (RV) | ±3.7% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Likely R | November 1, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[14] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Likely R | November 1, 2010 |
| RCP[16] | Likely R | November 1, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Safe R | October 28, 2010 |
| New York Times[18] | Lean R | November 1, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight[18] | Safe R | November 1, 2010 |
Results
Michele Bachmann won the general election on November 2, 2010, by a margin of 52% to 38%.[41][42]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Michele Bachmann (Incumbent) | 159,476 | 52.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Tarryl Clark | 120,846 | 39.8 | |
| Independence | Bob Anderson | 17,698 | 5.8 | |
| Independent | Aubrey Immelsman | 5,490 | 1.8 | |
| Write-in | 181 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 303,691 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
- External links
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Race Profile at The New York Times
District 7
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 Precinct results Peterson: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Byberg: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of R+5.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Collin Peterson, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (Incumbent) | 42,104 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 42,104 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Lee Byberg, business executive
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lee Byberg | 11,417 | 61.0 | |
| Republican | Alan Roebke | 7,315 | 39.0 | |
| Total votes | 18,732 | 100.0 | ||
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Glen R. Menze, accountant and Republican nominee for this seat in 2008
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence | Glen R. Menze | 2,242 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 2,242 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[14] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| RCP[16] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Safe D | October 28, 2010 |
| New York Times[18] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight[18] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
Results
Peterson won the general election on November 2, 2010, 55%-38%.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (Incumbent) | 133,096 | 55.2 | |
| Republican | Lee Byberg | 90,652 | 37.6 | |
| Independent | Gene Waldorf | 9,317 | 3.9 | |
| Independence | Glen R. Menze | 7,839 | 3.3 | |
| Write-in | 193 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 241,097 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic (DFL) hold | ||||
- External links
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Race Profile at The New York Times
District 8
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 Precinct results Cravaack: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Oberstar: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Jim Oberstar, who had represented the district since 1975, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 67.7% of the vote in 2008. The district had a PVI of D+3.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- James L. Oberstar, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- W. D. (Bill) Ham, chair of the Freedom Coalition of Minnesota[46]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic (DFL) | James L. Oberstar (Incumbent) | 56,510 | 80.5 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | W. D. (Bill) Ham | 13,710 | 19.5 | |
| Total votes | 70,220 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chip Cravaack, former Northwest Airlines pilot[47]
Withdrawn
- Michael Cummins, small business owner and nominee for this seat in 2008 (withdrew February 2010 endured Cravaack[48][49]
- Justin Eichorn, small business owner
- Rob Fransworth, special education teacher
- Darrel Trulson, business owner
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chip Cravaack | 26,608 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 26,608 | 100.0 | ||
Independence primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Timothy Olson, sawmill operator[46]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence | Timothy Olson | 2,515 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 2,515 | 100.0 | ||
General election
Campaign
Cravaack entered the race as a clear underdog, he was a political novice, the 8th district had been held by Democrats since 1947 and Oberstar was the longest-serving congressman in Minnesota's history who had never received less than 59% of the vote.[50]
Cravaack campaigned on a standard republican platform of free-market principles and government spending cuts[51] while attacking Oberstar's vote for the health care bill.[50][52]
Endorsements
Chip Cravaack (R)
- U.S. Representatives
- Organizations
- Newspapers
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jim Oberstar (DFL) |
Chip Cravaack (R) |
George Burton (C) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA | October 25–28, 2010 | 665 (LV) | ±3.9% | 47% | 46% | 3% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | September 28–30, 2010 | 300 (LV) | ±5.7% | 45% | 42% | – | 13% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Tossup | November 1, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[14] | Likely D | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
| RCP[16] | Tossup | November 1, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Likely D | October 28, 2010 |
| New York Times[18] | Safe D | November 1, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight[18] | Lean D | November 1, 2010 |
Results
Jim Oberstar lost his bid for a 19th term to Cravaack 48% to 47%.[54]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Chip Cravaack | 133,490 | 48.2 | |
| Democratic (DFL) | Jim Oberstar (Incumbent) | 129,091 | 46.6 | |
| Independence | Timothy Olson | 11,876 | 4.3 | |
| Constitution | Richard (George) Burton | 2,492 | 0.9 | |
| Write-in | 132 | 0.1 | ||
| Total votes | 277,081 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) | ||||
- External links
- Race ranking and details from CQ Politics
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Race Profile at The New York Times
References
- ^ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
- ^ Dr. Eric Ostermeier (October 31, 2010). "Election Profile: Minnesota's 1st Congressional District". lib.umn.edu. University of Minnesota Libraries Publishing. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Minnesota Legislative Manual 2011-2012 - State Primary August 10, 2010 Voter Registration and Voter Participation" (PDF). pp. 476–484.
- ^ Mark Steil (November 1, 2010). "Walz, Demmer in tight race for Minnesota's 1st District". mprnews.org. Worthington, Minnesota: Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Pat Doyle (December 1, 2009). "Rep. Demmer to run for Congress". startribune.com. Star Tribune. Archived from the original on October 13, 2011. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Mike Mulcahy; Mark Zdechlik (April 17, 2010). "Demmer to face Walz in November". mprnews.org. Mankato, Minnesota: Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ "Another GOPer officially announces run for Walz's seat". postbulletin.com. Post-Bulletin. February 15, 2010. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Syed, Moiz; Willis, Derek (October 15, 2009). "Two GOP candidates with familiar names consider run against Walz". Post-Bulletin. Archived from the original on November 2, 2012. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- ^ "Blue Earth man makes bid for Congress". faribaultcountyregister.com. Faribault County Register. December 7, 2009. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Aaron Blake (December 1, 2009). "Challengers sign up to face Walz, Paulsen in Minnesota". thehill.com. The Hill. Archived from the original on June 4, 2011. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ a b Birkey, Andy (January 4, 2010). "Quist: Defeating liberals a bigger battle than defeating terrorism". The Minnesota Independent. Archived from the original on January 13, 2013.
- ^ Heather J. Carlson (April 13, 2010). "Independence Party endorses Wilson to run against Walz". postbulletin.com. Post-Bulletin. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ a b c d "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
- ^ a b c d Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
- ^ a b c d Crystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010[update]
- ^ a b c d RealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010[update]
- ^ a b c d "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
- ^ James Hohmann (October 14, 2010). "Walz confident about survival". politico.com. Politico. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Minnesota Legislative Manual 2011-2012 - Chapter 10 Minnesota Votes" (PDF).
- ^ Dennis Lien (April 10, 2010). "Minnesota Democrats endorse Powers, Meffert in 2nd and 3rd congressional districts". twincities.com. St. Paul Pioneer Press. Archived from the original on December 22, 2023. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Eric Roper (August 11, 2010). "Madore edges out Powers in 2nd District". startribune.com. Star Tribune. Archived from the original on December 22, 2023. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Eric Roper (July 23, 2010). "DFL candidate has sketchy résumé as contractor". startribune.com. Star Tribune. Archived from the original on May 19, 2018. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Grow, Doug 3rd District Democrat Jim Meffert says he's ready for his steep uphill run against Rep. Erik Paulsen. Minn Post. 16 April 2010.
- ^ Tim Pugmire (November 3, 2009). "DFLer Hackett poised to run for Congress". mprnews.org. Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Tom Scheck (October 19, 2009). "Bonoff "open" to another run for Congress". mprnews.org. Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Emily Cadei (February 1, 2010). "Minnesota: Bonoff Passes on Paulsen Challenge". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Roper, Eric (September 27, 2010). "Paulsen launches TV offensive against Meffert". Star Tribune.
- ^ "Paulsen hits Meffert with second ad". Star Tribune. October 8, 2010.
- ^ Pugmire, Tim (October 13, 2010). "Negative ads bring attention to 3rd District race". Minnesota Public Radio.
- ^ Croman, John (October 5, 2010). "Ad shines light on 3rd District Congressional race". KARE 11. Retrieved October 6, 2010.
- ^ Wallbank, Derek (September 21, 2010). "Meffert files ethics complaint against Paulsen". Minn Post.
- ^ "Meffert campaign files complaint over Paulsen mailer". KARE 11. September 22, 2010.
- ^ "Support Jack Shepard, the Arsonist, for Congress". HuffPost. May 20, 2010.
- ^ Eric Roper (July 8, 2010). "Clark vs. Bachmann: This race is red hot". startribune.com. StarTribune. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ Annie Baxter (August 24, 2010). "Bachmann vs. Clark -- how close a race in the 6th?". mprnews.org. Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ Boldt, Megan. Reed drops out of 6th District race against Bachmann. Pioneer Press, June 6, 2010
- ^ "Minnesota: Reed Drops Out, Clears Field for Clark to Face Bachmann" Archived 2010-06-10 at the Wayback Machine Congressional Quarterly, June 6, 2010
- ^ Jay Newton-Small (October 22, 2010). "Minnesota's 6th Congressional District: Michele Bachmann vs. Tarryl Clark". time.com. TIME USA. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ "Tinklenberg Out of Minnesota 6 Race". rollcall.com/. Roll Call. August 4, 2009. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- ^ "Results from Congressional District 06". Minnesota Secretary of State. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 6 January 2011.
- ^ Eric Roper (December 15, 2010). "Bachmann v. Clark: the never-ending feud". startribune.com. StarTribune. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
- ^ "Roebke, Byberg to go head-to-head in 7th District primary Tuesday". grandforksherald.com. Grand Forks Herald. August 7, 2010. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ "Forum editorial: A lousy loser gets the spurge". inforum.com/. August 15, 2010. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Joe Kimball (January 15, 2010). "Glen Menze to challenge Rep. Collin Peterson, again". minnpost.com. MinnPost. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ a b "Two more join Minnesota 8th District House race". grandforksherald.com. Grand Forks Herald. May 28, 2010. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- ^ "Chip Cravaack declares candidacy for Minnesota's 8th District". pinejournal.com. Pine Journal. April 8, 2010. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- ^ Sandy Drag (February 11, 2010). "Republican Candidate for 8th Congressional District". wdio.com/. WDIO-TV. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- ^ "Cummins withdraws from District 8 Congressional race, backs Seifert for Gov". burnettcountysentinel.com. Burnett County Sentinel. February 24, 2010. Retrieved December 26, 2023.
- ^ a b c Eric Roper (October 14, 2010). "Has 'The Dean' met his match?". Star Tribune. p. A1, A7. Retrieved March 13, 2011.
- ^ Kevin Diaz and Eric Roper (November 13, 2010). "Chip Cravaack gets ready to report for duty". Minneapolis Star Tribune. Archived from the original on June 10, 2011. Retrieved March 13, 2011.
- ^ Bruce Bisping (October 23, 2010). "Jobs carry debate as Oberstar-Cravaack rematch stays civil". Minneapolis Star Tribune. Archived from the original on October 26, 2010. Retrieved March 12, 2011.
- ^ a b Steve Karnowski (November 3, 2010). "Cravaack plays giant killer in Congressional race". Winona Daily News. The Associated Press. Retrieved March 13, 2011.
- ^ "U.S. 2010 congressional elections results". Archived from the original on March 10, 2010. Retrieved November 23, 2010.
External links
- Elections & Voting from the Minnesota Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Minnesota at Project Vote Smart
- Minnesota U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions for Minnesota congressional races from OpenSecrets
- 2010 Minnesota General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Campaign 2010 at Minnesota Public Radio News
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Official campaign websites |
This page was last edited on 1 April 2024, at 22:44