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2004 United States presidential election in Maryland

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

United States presidential election in Maryland, 2004

← 2000 November 2, 2004 2008 →
 
John F. Kerry.jpg
George-W-Bush.jpeg
Nominee John Kerry George W. Bush
Party Democratic Republican
Home state Massachusetts Texas
Running mate John Edwards Dick Cheney
Electoral vote 10 0
Popular vote 1,334,493 1,024,703
Percentage 55.91% 42.93%

MarylandPresidentialElection2004.svg
County Results

President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Maryland took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Maryland was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 13.0 percentage point margin. Prior to the election, all twelve news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. The last Republican to carry the state in a presidential election was George H.W. Bush in 1988. As of 2019, this is the last time a Republican presidential candidate won more than forty percent of the vote in Maryland or received more than a million votes.

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Transcription

Contents

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Democratic
  2. Associated Press: Solid Kerry
  3. CNN: Kerry
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
  5. Newsweek: Solid Kerry
  6. New York Times: Solid Kerry
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Kerry
  8. Research 2000: Solid Kerry
  9. Washington Post: Kerry
  10. Washington Times: Solid Kerry
  11. Zogby International: Kerry
  12. Washington Dispatch: Kerry

Polling

Kerry won every pre-election poll. The final 3 poll average showed Kerry leading 52% to 42%.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $4,174,964.[3] Kerry raised $7,553,542, which was 4% of the total money raised by Kerry in 2004.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[5][6]

Analysis

Bush did win most of the counties in Maryland, but he lost the central part of the state (Washington DC suburbs and Baltimore), where most of the population is. The middle section is very urban and includes a large number of African Americans, many of whom are affluent (specifically in the Democratic stronghold of Prince George's County). Bush dominated Western Maryland and the state's Eastern Shore, which are very rural, but he carried only two congressional districts (see below). However, Kerry's margin of victory was slightly less than in 2000, when Gore won by 16 percentage points.

Results

United States presidential election in Maryland, 2004
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Party John Kerry John Edwards 1,334,493 55.9% 10
Republican Party George W. Bush (Inc.) Dick Cheney 1,024,703 42.9% 0
Populist Party[7] Ralph Nader Peter Camejo 11,854 0.5% 0
Libertarian Party Michael Badnarik Richard Campagna 6,094 0.3% 0
Green Party David Cobb Patricia LaMarche 3,632 0.2% 0
Constitution Party Michael Peroutka Chuck Baldwin 3,421 0.1% 0
Write Ins 2,481 0.1% 0
Totals - 100.00% 10
Voter turnout (Voting Age population) 59%

Results by county

County John Forbes Kerry
Democratic
George Walker Bush
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast[8]
# % # % # % # %
Allegany 10,576 35.77% 18,980 64.20% 9 0.03% -8,404 -28.43% 29,565
Anne Arundel 103,324 43.63% 133,231 56.25% 280 0.12% -29,907 -12.62% 236,835
Baltimore County 182,474 52.31% 166,051 47.60% 333 0.10% 16,423 4.71% 348,858
Baltimore City 175,022 82.78% 36,230 17.14% 182 0.09% 138,792 65.64% 211,434
Calvert 15,967 40.92% 23,017 58.99% 33 0.08% -7,050 -18.07% 39,017
Caroline 3,810 33.98% 7,396 65.95% 8 0.07% -3,586 -31.97% 11,214
Carroll 22,974 29.33% 55,275 70.57% 82 0.10% -32,301 -41.24% 78,331
Cecil 14,680 39.40% 22,556 60.54% 19 0.05% -7,876 -21.14% 37,255
Charles 29,354 50.76% 28,442 49.18% 37 0.06% 912 1.58% 57,833
Dorchester 5,411 40.93% 7,801 59.01% 8 0.06% -2,390 -18.08% 13,220
Frederick 39,503 39.68% 59,934 60.20% 122 0.12% -20,431 -20.52% 99,559
Garrett 3,291 26.58% 9,085 73.37% 6 0.05% -5,794 -46.79% 12,382
Harford 39,685 35.64% 71,565 64.28% 89 0.08% -31,880 -28.64% 111,339
Howard 72,257 54.68% 59,724 45.20% 161 0.12% 12,533 9.48% 132,142
Kent 4,278 46.56% 4,900 53.33% 10 0.11% -622 -6.77% 9,188
Montgomery 273,936 66.67% 136,334 33.18% 641 0.16% 137,602 33.49% 410,911
Prince George's 260,532 82.36% 55,532 17.56% 265 0.08% 205,000 64.80% 316,329
Queen Anne's 7,070 32.77% 14,489 67.17% 13 0.06% -7,419 -34.40% 21,572
Somerset 4,034 45.22% 4,884 54.75% 3 0.03% -850 -9.53% 8,921
St. Mary's 13,776 36.70% 23,725 63.21% 33 0.09% -9,949 -26.51% 37,534
Talbot 7,367 39.47% 11,288 60.47% 12 0.06% -3,921 -21.00% 18,667
Washington 20,387 35.55% 36,917 64.37% 43 0.07% -16,530 -28.82% 57,347
Wicomico 15,137 40.72% 21,998 59.18% 37 0.10% -6,861 -18.46% 37,172
Worcester 9,648 38.58% 15,349 61.37% 14 0.06% -5,701 -22.79% 25,011
Totals 1,334,493 56.51% 1,024,703 43.39% 2,440 0.10% 309,790 13.12% 2,361,636

By congressional district

Kerry won 6 of 8 congressional districts.[9]

District Kerry Bush Representative
1st 36% 62% Wayne Gilchrest
2nd 54% 45% Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd 54% 45% Ben Cardin
4th 78% 21% Albert Wynn
5th 57% 42% Steny Hoyer
6th 34% 65% Roscoe Bartlett
7th 73% 26% Elijah Cummings
8th 69% 30% Chris Van Hollen

Electors

Technically the voters of Maryland cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Maryland is allocated 10 electors because it has 8 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All ten were pledged for Kerry/Edwards:[10]

  1. Norman Conway
  2. Delores Kelley
  3. Lainey Lebow Sachs
  4. Pam Jackson
  5. Dorothy Chaney
  6. John Riley
  7. Wendy Fielde
  8. Daphne Bloomberg
  9. Tom Perez
  10. Gary Gensler

References

  1. ^ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW[permanent dead link]
  2. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=24
  3. ^ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
  4. ^ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
  5. ^ http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/
  6. ^ http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html
  7. ^ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  8. ^ Maryland State Board of Elections; 2004 Presidential General Election Official Results President and Vice President of the United States
  9. ^ http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/
  10. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2006-10-04. Retrieved 2009-10-08.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)

See also

This page was last edited on 6 October 2019, at 04:23
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