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1994 California gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

1994 California gubernatorial election

← 1990 November 8, 1994 1998 →
 
PeteWilson.jpg
No image.svg
Nominee Pete Wilson Kathleen Brown
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,781,766 3,519,799
Percentage 55.2% 40.6%

CA1994Gov.svg
County Results
Wilson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Brown:      40-50%      50–60%

Governor before election

Pete Wilson
Republican

Elected Governor

Pete Wilson
Republican

The 1994 California gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 1994, in the midst of that year's Republican Revolution. Incumbent Republican Pete Wilson easily won re-election over his main challenger, Democratic State Treasurer Kathleen Brown, the daughter of Pat Brown and younger sister of Jerry Brown, both of whom had previously served as governor. Although Wilson initially trailed Brown in the polls as a result of the state's faltering economy, his signature opposition to affirmative action and state services for illegal immigrants (with the associated Proposition 187) eventually led to his win. Wilson won 21% of the African American vote and 25% of the Latino vote, which was the lowest for an incumbent Republican governor due to his hardline stance on illegal immigration in the United States.

YouTube Encyclopedic

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  • ✪ Congressional Elections: Crash Course Government and Politics #6

Transcription

Hi, I'm Craig and this is Crash Course Government and Politics, and today we're going to talk about what is, if you ask the general public, the most important part of politics: elections. If you ask me, it's hair styles. Look at Martin Van Buren's sideburns, how could he not be elected? Americans are kind of obsessed with elections, I mean when this was being recorded in early 2015, television, news and the internet were already talking about who would be Democrat and Republican candidates for president in 2016. And many of the candidates have unofficially been campaigning for years. I've been campaigning; your grandma's been campaigning. Presidential elections are exciting and you can gamble on them. Is that legal, can you gamble on them, Stan? Anyway, why we're so obsessed with them is a topic for another day. Right now I'm gonna tell you that the fixation on the presidential elections is wrong, but not because the president doesn't matter. No, today we're gonna look at the elections of the people that are supposed to matter the most, Congress. Constitutionally at least, Congress is the most important branch of government because it is the one that is supposed to be the most responsive to the people. One of the main reasons it's so responsive, at least in theory, is the frequency of elections. If a politician has to run for office often, he or she, because unlike the president we have women serving in Congress, kind of has to pay attention to what the constituents want, a little bit, maybe. By now, I'm sure that most of you have memorized the Constitution, so you recognize that despite their importance in the way we discuss politics, elections aren't really a big feature of the Constitution. Except of course for the ridiculously complex electoral college system for choosing the president, which we don't even want to think about for a few episodes. In fact, here's what the Constitution says about Congressional Elections in Article 1 Section 2: "The House of Representatives shall be composed of members chosen every second year by the people of the several states, and the electors in each state shall have the qualifications requisite for electors of the most numerous branch of the state legislature." So the Constitution does establish that the whole of the house is up for election every 2 years, and 1/3 of the senate is too, but mainly it leaves the scheduling and rules of elections up to the states. The actual rules of elections, like when the polls are open and where they actually are, as well as the registration requirements, are pretty much up to the states, subject to some federal election law. If you really want to know the rules in your state, I'm sure that someone at the Board of Elections, will be happy to explain them to you. Really, you should give them a call; they're very, very lonely. In general though, here's what we can say about American elections. First stating the super obvious, in order to serve in congress, you need to win an election. In the House of Representatives, each election district chooses a single representative, which is why we call them single-member districts. The number of districts is determined by the Census, which happens every 10 years, and which means that elections ending in zeros are super important, for reasons that I'll explain in greater detail in a future episode. It's because of gerrymandering. The Senate is much easier to figure out because both of the state Senators are elected by the entire state. It's as if the state itself were a single district, which is true for states like Wyoming, which are so unpopulated as to have only 1 representative. Sometimes these elections are called at large elections. Before the election ever happens, you need candidates. How candidates are chosen differs from state to state, but usually it has something to do with political parties, although it doesn't have to. Why are things so complicated?! What we can say is that candidates, or at least good candidates, usually have certain characteristics. Sorry America. First off, if you are gonna run for office, you should have an unblemished record, free of, oh I don't know, felony convictions or sex scandals, except maybe in Louisiana or New York. This might lead to some pretty bland candidates or people who are so calculating that they have no skeletons in their closet, but we Americans are a moral people and like our candidates to reflect our ideals rather than our reality. The second characteristic that a candidate must possess is the ability to raise money. Now some candidates are billionaires and can finance their own campaigns. But most billionaires have better things to do: buying yachts, making even more money, building money forts, buying more yachts, so they don't have time to run for office. But most candidates get their money for their campaigns by asking for it. The ability to raise money is key, especially now, because running for office is expensive. Can I get a how expensive is it? "How expensive is it?!" Well, so expensive that the prices of elections continually rises and in 2012 winners of House races spent nearly 2 million each. Senate winners spent more than 10 million. By the time this episode airs, I'm sure the numbers will be much higher like a gajillion billion million. Money is important in winning an election, but even more important, statistically, is already being in Congress. Let's go to the Thought Bubble. The person holding an office who runs for that office again is called the incumbent and has a big advantage over any challenger. This is according to political scientists who, being almost as bad at naming things as historians, refer to this as incumbency advantage. There are a number of reasons why incumbents tend to hold onto their seats in congress, if they want to. The first is that a sitting congressman has a record to run on, which we hope includes some legislative accomplishments, although for the past few Congresses, these don't seem to matter. The record might include case work, which is providing direct services to constituents. This is usually done by congressional staffers and includes things like answering questions about how to get certain government benefits or writing recommendation letters to West Point. Congressmen can also provide jobs to constituents, which is usually a good way to get them to vote for you. These are either government jobs, kind of rare these days, called patronage or indirect employment through government contracts for programs within a Congressman's district. These programs are called earmarks or pork barrel programs, and they are much less common now because Congress has decided not to use them any more, sort of. The second advantage that incumbents have is that they have a record of winning elections, which if you think about it, is pretty obvious. Being a proven winner makes it easier for a congressmen to raise money, which helps them win, and long term incumbents tend to be more powerful in Congress which makes it even easier for them to raise money and win. The Constitution give incumbents one structural advantage too. Each elected congressman is allowed $100,000 and free postage to send out election materials. This is called the franking privilege. It's not so clear how great an advantage this is in the age of the internet, but at least according to the book The Victory Lab, direct mail from candidates can be surprisingly effective. How real is this incumbency advantage? Well if you look at the numbers, it seems pretty darn real. Over the past 60 years, almost 90% of members of The House of Representatives got re-elected. The Senate has been even more volatile, but even at the low point in 1980 more than 50% of sitting senators got to keep their jobs. Thanks, Thought Bubble. You're so great. So those are some of the features of congressional elections. Now, if you'll permit me to get a little politically sciencey, I'd like to try to explain why elections are so important to the way that Congressmen and Senators do their jobs. In 1974, political scientist David Mayhew published a book in which he described something he called "The Electoral Connection." This was the idea that Congressmen were primarily motivated by the desire to get re-elected, which intuitively makes a lot of sense, even though I'm not sure what evidence he had for this conclusion. Used to be able to get away with that kind of thing I guess, clearly David may-not-hew to the rules of evidence, pun [rim shot], high five, no. Anyway Mayhew's research methodology isn't as important as his idea itself because The Electoral Connection provides a frame work for understanding congressman's activities. Mayhew divided representatives' behaviors and activities into three categories. The first is advertising; congressmen work to develop their personal brand so that they are recognizable to voters. Al D'Amato used to be know in New York as Senator Pothole, because he was able to bring home so much pork that he could actually fix New York's streets. Not by filling them with pork, money, its money, remember pork barrel spending? The second activity is credit claiming; Congressmen get things done so that they can say they got them done. A lot of case work and especially pork barrel spending are done in the name of credit claiming. Related to credit claiming, but slightly different, is position taking. This means making a public judgmental statement on something likely to be of interest to voters. Senators can do this through filibusters. Representatives can't filibuster, but they can hold hearings, publicly supporting a hearing is a way of associating yourself with an idea without having to actually try to pass legislation. And of course they can go on the TV, especially on Sunday talk shows. What's a TV, who even watches TV? Now the idea of The Electoral Connection doesn't explain every action a member of Congress takes; sometimes they actually make laws to benefit the public good or maybe solve problems, huh, what an idea! But Mayhew's idea gives us a way of thinking about Congressional activity, an analytical lens that connects what Congressmen actually do with how most of us understand Congressmen, through elections. So the next time you see a Congressmen call for a hearing on a supposed horrible scandal or read about a Senator threatening to filibuster a policy that may have significant popular support, ask yourself, "Is this Representative claiming credit or taking a position, and how will this build their brand?" In other words: what's the electoral connection and how will whatever they're doing help them get elected? This might feel a little cynical, but the reality is Mayhew's thesis often seems to fit with today's politics. Thanks for watching, see you next week. Vote for me; I'm on the TV. I'm not -- I'm on the YouTube. Crash Course: Government and Politics is produced in association with PBS Digital Studios. Support for Crash Course US Government comes from Voqal. Voqal supports nonprofits that use technology and media to advance social equity. Learn more about their mission and initiatives at Voqal.org. Crash Course is made by all of these nice people. Thanks for watching. That guy isn't nice.

Contents

Primary elections

They were held on June 3, 1994.

Democratic

California gubernatorial Democratic primary, 1994
Candidate Votes %
Kathleen Brown 1,110,372 48.38
John Garamendi 755,876 32.93
Tom Hayden 318,777 13.89
Charles Pineda, Jr. 57,314 2.50
Jonathan Trip 31,716 1.38
Mark Calney 21,121 0.92
Invalid or blank votes 139,710 5.74%
Total votes 2,434,866 100.00

Republican

California gubernatorial Republican primary, 1994
Candidate Votes %
Pete Wilson (incumbent) 1,266,832 61.44
Ron K. Unz 707,431 34.31
Jim Hart 44,083 2.14
Louis D'Arrigo 43,448 2.11
Mike Eagles (write-in) 34 0.00
Invalid or blank votes 92,580 4.30%
Total votes 2,154,408 100.00

General election

Polling

Source Date Wilson (R) Brown (D)
KNBC-TV Nov. 4, 1994 48% 44%
KCAL-TV Nov. 3, 1994 49% 39%
Field Poll Nov. 1, 1994 50% 41%
San Francisco Examiner Oct. 23, 1994 48% 43%
Los Angeles Times Oct. 16, 1994 50% 42%
KCAL-TV Oct. 7, 1994 48% 38%
Los Angeles Times Sep. 16, 1994 46% 44%

Results

Final results from the Secretary of State of California.[1]

1994 gubernatorial election, California
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pete Wilson (incumbent) 4,781,766 55.18
Democratic Kathleen Brown 3,519,799 40.62
Libertarian Richard Rider 149,281 1.72
American Independent Jerome McCready 133,870 1.54
Peace and Freedom Gloria Estela LaRiva 80,440 0.93
No party Write-ins 219 0.00%
Invalid or blank votes 235,261 2.64
Total votes 8,900,855 100.00
Republican hold

Results by county

County Wilson Votes Brown Votes Others Votes
Glenn 73.54% 5,916 21.37% 1,719 5.10% 410
Colusa 72.70% 3,691 23.68% 1,202 3.62% 184
Sutter 72.11% 15,997 23.86% 5,293 4.02% 893
Inyo 69.51% 5,054 25.83% 1,878 4.67% 339
Kern 69.49% 105,733 25.72% 39,137 4.79% 7,292
Madera 69.24% 18,623 26.85% 7,223 3.91% 1,051
Tulare 69.02% 54,267 27.52% 21,634 3.47% 2,725
Tehama 68.77% 12,836 24.78% 4,626 6.45% 1,204
Shasta 68.45% 37,577 24.84% 13,633 6.72% 3,684
Orange 67.72% 516,811 27.67% 211,132 4.61% 35,196
El Dorado 67.14% 36,695 27.97% 15,289 4.89% 2,670
Placer 67.02% 51,213 28.68% 21,915 4.29% 3,282
Amador 66.81% 8,781 28.73% 3,776 4.47% 586
Calaveras 66.08% 10,438 28.06% 4,432 5.86% 925
Nevada 65.97% 25,159 29.59% 11,283 4.44% 1,693
Yuba 65.95% 9,378 28.14% 4,002 5.91% 840
Mariposa 65.18% 4,699 30.21% 2,178 4.61% 332
Kings 65.02% 14,750 31.28% 7,097 3.70% 839
Mono 64.88% 2,263 30.13% 1,051 4.99% 174
Tuolumne 64.41% 12,706 31.01% 6,117 4.57% 903
Riverside 64.17% 221,027 31.13% 107,207 4.68% 16,183
Plumas 63.87% 5,492 30.58% 2,630 5.54% 477
San Diego 63.35% 477,439 31.97% 240,937 4.67% 35,284
Merced 62.90% 24,873 33.37% 13,197 3.73% 1,474
Butte 62.88% 42,998 32.01% 21,887 5.11% 3,498
Fresno 62.83% 112,851 33.94% 60,958 3.22% 5,809
Ventura 62.36% 136,417 33.44% 73,163 4.20% 9,188
San Bernardino 62.30% 217,085 32.32% 112,636 5.38% 18,755
Del Norte 61.83% 4,626 31.70% 2,372 6.48% 484
Sierra 61.77% 1,018 32.04% 528 6.19% 102
San Joaquin 61.35% 78,682 34.92% 44,787 3.72% 4,774
Stanislaus 60.68% 60,992 34.90% 35,080 4.41% 4,438
Siskiyou 60.17% 11,075 32.88% 6,053 6.94% 1,279
San Luis Obispo 60.07% 52,270 35.27% 30,686 4.64% 4,053
Lassen 58.63% 4,827 32.44% 2,671 8.92% 735
Lake 57.88% 11,416 36.90% 7,279 5.21% 1,029
Trinity 56.88% 3,078 32.95% 1,783 10.15% 550
Santa Barbara 56.68% 75,051 39.59% 52,420 3.73% 4,941
Alpine 56.54% 389 34.88% 240 8.58% 59
Imperial 54.97% 13,208 39.64% 9,525 5.39% 1,294
Sacramento 54.79% 196,229 40.88% 146,423 4.33% 15,504
Napa 54.69% 23,429 40.74% 17,454 4.56% 1,956
San Benito 54.17% 6,398 41.08% 4,852 4.75% 561
Monterey 53.89% 49,565 41.96% 38,597 4.14% 3,817
Solano 51.89% 51,265 43.70% 43,170 4.41% 4,355
Modoc 51.47% 1,972 32.81% 1,257 15.71% 602
Contra Costa 51.47% 154,482 45.02% 135,133 3.50% 10,525
Los Angeles 50.43% 1,043,835 46.06% 953,301 3.51% 72,753
Humboldt 49.34% 23,586 44.27% 21,162 6.39% 3,059
Mendocino 48.37% 14,645 45.30% 13,716 6.33% 1,918
San Mateo 47.63% 102,989 49.21% 106,391 3.15% 6,836
Santa Clara 47.50% 212,075 47.46% 211,904 5.03% 22,490
Yolo 46.58% 23,019 49.28% 24,357 4.12% 2,045
Sonoma 45.65% 73,234 49.69% 79,720 4.66% 7,474
Marin 43.35% 45,983 53.43% 56,665 3.21% 3,415
Santa Cruz 41.09% 37,927 53.39% 49,272 5.51% 5,095
Alameda 36.61% 147,238 59.80% 240,490 3.58% 14,437
San Francisco 27.81% 66,494 69.12% 165,279 3.07% 7,340

References

  1. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-07-30. Retrieved 2008-08-17.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)

External links

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