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All 8 Wisconsin seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Wisconsin |
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The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin were held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Wisconsin, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including President of the United States and U.S. Senator from Wisconsin. The primaries were held on August 9.
Wisconsin was one of two states (along with Virginia) where the party that won the most seats did not win the most votes in the state, although not every seat was contested in Wisconsin.
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Congressional Elections: Crash Course Government and Politics #6
Transcription
Hi, I'm Craig and this is Crash Course Government and Politics, and today we're going to talk about what is, if you ask the general public, the most important part of politics: elections. If you ask me, it's hair styles. Look at Martin Van Buren's sideburns, how could he not be elected? Americans are kind of obsessed with elections, I mean when this was being recorded in early 2015, television, news and the internet were already talking about who would be Democrat and Republican candidates for president in 2016. And many of the candidates have unofficially been campaigning for years. I've been campaigning; your grandma's been campaigning. Presidential elections are exciting and you can gamble on them. Is that legal, can you gamble on them, Stan? Anyway, why we're so obsessed with them is a topic for another day. Right now I'm gonna tell you that the fixation on the presidential elections is wrong, but not because the president doesn't matter. No, today we're gonna look at the elections of the people that are supposed to matter the most, Congress. Constitutionally at least, Congress is the most important branch of government because it is the one that is supposed to be the most responsive to the people. One of the main reasons it's so responsive, at least in theory, is the frequency of elections. If a politician has to run for office often, he or she, because unlike the president we have women serving in Congress, kind of has to pay attention to what the constituents want, a little bit, maybe. By now, I'm sure that most of you have memorized the Constitution, so you recognize that despite their importance in the way we discuss politics, elections aren't really a big feature of the Constitution. Except of course for the ridiculously complex electoral college system for choosing the president, which we don't even want to think about for a few episodes. In fact, here's what the Constitution says about Congressional Elections in Article 1 Section 2: "The House of Representatives shall be composed of members chosen every second year by the people of the several states, and the electors in each state shall have the qualifications requisite for electors of the most numerous branch of the state legislature." So the Constitution does establish that the whole of the house is up for election every 2 years, and 1/3 of the senate is too, but mainly it leaves the scheduling and rules of elections up to the states. The actual rules of elections, like when the polls are open and where they actually are, as well as the registration requirements, are pretty much up to the states, subject to some federal election law. If you really want to know the rules in your state, I'm sure that someone at the Board of Elections, will be happy to explain them to you. Really, you should give them a call; they're very, very lonely. In general though, here's what we can say about American elections. First stating the super obvious, in order to serve in congress, you need to win an election. In the House of Representatives, each election district chooses a single representative, which is why we call them single-member districts. The number of districts is determined by the Census, which happens every 10 years, and which means that elections ending in zeros are super important, for reasons that I'll explain in greater detail in a future episode. It's because of gerrymandering. The Senate is much easier to figure out because both of the state Senators are elected by the entire state. It's as if the state itself were a single district, which is true for states like Wyoming, which are so unpopulated as to have only 1 representative. Sometimes these elections are called at large elections. Before the election ever happens, you need candidates. How candidates are chosen differs from state to state, but usually it has something to do with political parties, although it doesn't have to. Why are things so complicated?! What we can say is that candidates, or at least good candidates, usually have certain characteristics. Sorry America. First off, if you are gonna run for office, you should have an unblemished record, free of, oh I don't know, felony convictions or sex scandals, except maybe in Louisiana or New York. This might lead to some pretty bland candidates or people who are so calculating that they have no skeletons in their closet, but we Americans are a moral people and like our candidates to reflect our ideals rather than our reality. The second characteristic that a candidate must possess is the ability to raise money. Now some candidates are billionaires and can finance their own campaigns. But most billionaires have better things to do: buying yachts, making even more money, building money forts, buying more yachts, so they don't have time to run for office. But most candidates get their money for their campaigns by asking for it. The ability to raise money is key, especially now, because running for office is expensive. Can I get a how expensive is it? "How expensive is it?!" Well, so expensive that the prices of elections continually rises and in 2012 winners of House races spent nearly 2 million each. Senate winners spent more than 10 million. By the time this episode airs, I'm sure the numbers will be much higher like a gajillion billion million. Money is important in winning an election, but even more important, statistically, is already being in Congress. Let's go to the Thought Bubble. The person holding an office who runs for that office again is called the incumbent and has a big advantage over any challenger. This is according to political scientists who, being almost as bad at naming things as historians, refer to this as incumbency advantage. There are a number of reasons why incumbents tend to hold onto their seats in congress, if they want to. The first is that a sitting congressman has a record to run on, which we hope includes some legislative accomplishments, although for the past few Congresses, these don't seem to matter. The record might include case work, which is providing direct services to constituents. This is usually done by congressional staffers and includes things like answering questions about how to get certain government benefits or writing recommendation letters to West Point. Congressmen can also provide jobs to constituents, which is usually a good way to get them to vote for you. These are either government jobs, kind of rare these days, called patronage or indirect employment through government contracts for programs within a Congressman's district. These programs are called earmarks or pork barrel programs, and they are much less common now because Congress has decided not to use them any more, sort of. The second advantage that incumbents have is that they have a record of winning elections, which if you think about it, is pretty obvious. Being a proven winner makes it easier for a congressmen to raise money, which helps them win, and long term incumbents tend to be more powerful in Congress which makes it even easier for them to raise money and win. The Constitution give incumbents one structural advantage too. Each elected congressman is allowed $100,000 and free postage to send out election materials. This is called the franking privilege. It's not so clear how great an advantage this is in the age of the internet, but at least according to the book The Victory Lab, direct mail from candidates can be surprisingly effective. How real is this incumbency advantage? Well if you look at the numbers, it seems pretty darn real. Over the past 60 years, almost 90% of members of The House of Representatives got re-elected. The Senate has been even more volatile, but even at the low point in 1980 more than 50% of sitting senators got to keep their jobs. Thanks, Thought Bubble. You're so great. So those are some of the features of congressional elections. Now, if you'll permit me to get a little politically sciencey, I'd like to try to explain why elections are so important to the way that Congressmen and Senators do their jobs. In 1974, political scientist David Mayhew published a book in which he described something he called "The Electoral Connection." This was the idea that Congressmen were primarily motivated by the desire to get re-elected, which intuitively makes a lot of sense, even though I'm not sure what evidence he had for this conclusion. Used to be able to get away with that kind of thing I guess, clearly David may-not-hew to the rules of evidence, pun [rim shot], high five, no. Anyway Mayhew's research methodology isn't as important as his idea itself because The Electoral Connection provides a frame work for understanding congressman's activities. Mayhew divided representatives' behaviors and activities into three categories. The first is advertising; congressmen work to develop their personal brand so that they are recognizable to voters. Al D'Amato used to be know in New York as Senator Pothole, because he was able to bring home so much pork that he could actually fix New York's streets. Not by filling them with pork, money, its money, remember pork barrel spending? The second activity is credit claiming; Congressmen get things done so that they can say they got them done. A lot of case work and especially pork barrel spending are done in the name of credit claiming. Related to credit claiming, but slightly different, is position taking. This means making a public judgmental statement on something likely to be of interest to voters. Senators can do this through filibusters. Representatives can't filibuster, but they can hold hearings, publicly supporting a hearing is a way of associating yourself with an idea without having to actually try to pass legislation. And of course they can go on the TV, especially on Sunday talk shows. What's a TV, who even watches TV? Now the idea of The Electoral Connection doesn't explain every action a member of Congress takes; sometimes they actually make laws to benefit the public good or maybe solve problems, huh, what an idea! But Mayhew's idea gives us a way of thinking about Congressional activity, an analytical lens that connects what Congressmen actually do with how most of us understand Congressmen, through elections. So the next time you see a Congressmen call for a hearing on a supposed horrible scandal or read about a Senator threatening to filibuster a policy that may have significant popular support, ask yourself, "Is this Representative claiming credit or taking a position, and how will this build their brand?" In other words: what's the electoral connection and how will whatever they're doing help them get elected? This might feel a little cynical, but the reality is Mayhew's thesis often seems to fit with today's politics. Thanks for watching, see you next week. Vote for me; I'm on the TV. I'm not -- I'm on the YouTube. Crash Course: Government and Politics is produced in association with PBS Digital Studios. Support for Crash Course US Government comes from Voqal. Voqal supports nonprofits that use technology and media to advance social equity. Learn more about their mission and initiatives at Voqal.org. Crash Course is made by all of these nice people. Thanks for watching. That guy isn't nice.
District 1
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Precinct results Ryan: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Solen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican incumbent Paul Ryan, who had represented the 1st district since 1999, ran for re-election. This district had a PVI of R+3. Since October 29, 2015 Ryan sat as the Speaker of the House.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Paul Ryan, incumbent U.S. Representative and Speaker of the United States House of Representatives
Eliminated in primary
- Paul Nehlen, senior vice-president of operations at Neptune-Benson[1]
Campaign
Nehlen filed campaign papers to run against Ryan on April 1, 2016, and officially launched his campaign on April 14, with the opening of his first campaign office in Kenosha, Wisconsin.[2] Nehlen claims to have been a Paul Ryan supporter and worked for his election in earlier campaigns but at least one conservative media report has questioned that claim.[3]
According to a Janesville Gazette report about his campaign launch, "Nehlen declined to talk about issues such as abortion and would not say what presidential candidate he supports or whether he would support a Republican running for the presidency."[4] Nehlen ran on a platform calling for secure borders, enforcement of existing immigration laws, and reduced government spending, and he opposed the Trans-Pacific Partnership treaty.[5] On May 5, 2016, Nehlen pledged to support Donald Trump for the presidency.[6]
The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported on July 14, 2016, that Nehlen had hired Dan Backer as his campaign treasurer.[7][8] Backer is nationally known for his fundraising activities.[9][10][11][12]
In an August 2016 radio interview, Nehlen suggested that the United States should "have a discussion" about the possibility of deporting Sharia-adherent Muslims living in the country.[13] The remark occurred when Nehlen was asked about his thoughts regarding the dispute between 2016 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and Khizr and Ghazala Khan, the parents of Humayun Khan, an American Muslim Army captain who died in a suicide bombing while serving in Iraq in 2004. During the interview, Nehlen also said that every mosque in the United States should be monitored for signs of potential radicalization.[14]
Because of Nehlen's support for Trump, Trump publicly thanked him on Twitter and later told The Washington Post that Nehlen was "running a very good campaign", even though he did not endorse him.[15][16][17] On August 5, 2016, Trump endorsed Ryan's re-election after pressure from fellow Republican leaders.[18]
Endorsements
- Statewide officials
- Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska and the Republican Party nominee for Vice President in 2008[19]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Ann Coulter, political commentator and author[21][22]
- Ronald F. Maxwell, film director and writer[22]
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, businessman and 2016 Republican Presidential Nominee[18]
Results
Nehlen lost the Republican Party primary to Ryan by 68 points.[23][24]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Ryan (incumbent) | 57,364 | 84.1 | |
Republican | Paul Nehlen | 10,864 | 15.9 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 15 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 68,243 | 100 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ryan Solen, Democratic Party of Wisconsin Veteran's Caucus Secretary/Treasurer[26]
Eliminated in primary
- Tom Breu, plumbing engineer[27]
Declined
- Rob Zerban, former member of the Kenosha County Board and nominee for this seat in 2012 & 2014[28]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ryan Solen | 14,639 | 58.9 | |
Democratic | Tom Breu | 10,142 | 40.8 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 86 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 24,867 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jason Lebeck, I.T. technician[29]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Jason Lebeck | 195 | 97.5 | |
Libertarian | Write-ins | 5 | 2.5 | |
Total votes | 200 | 100.0 |
Independents
- Spencer Zimmerman, appears on the ballot as "Trump Conservative"[30]
General election
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Paul Ryan (incumbent) | 230,072 | 64.9 | |
Democratic | Ryan Solen | 107,003 | 30.2 | |
Independent | Spencer Zimmerman | 9,429 | 2.7 | |
Libertarian | Jason Lebeck | 7,486 | 2.1 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 255 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 354,245 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 2
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Precinct results Pocan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Theron: 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic incumbent Mark Pocan, who had represented the 2nd district since 2013, ran for re-election. This district had a PVI of D+17.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Pocan, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Pocan (incumbent) | 71,461 | 99.5 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 395 | 0.5 | |
Total votes | 71,856 | 100 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Peter Theron | 12,866 | 99.4 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 79 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 12,945 | 100.0 |
General election
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mark Pocan (incumbent) | 273,537 | 68.7 | |
Republican | Peter Theron | 124,044 | 31.2 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 479 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 398,060 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 3
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Precinct results Kind: 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic incumbent Ron Kind, who had represented the 3rd district since 1996, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2014 and the district had a PVI of D+5.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Ron Kind, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Myron Buchholz, retired teacher[32]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ron Kind (incumbent) | 33,320 | 81.2 | |
Democratic | Myron Buchholz | 7,689 | 18.8 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 7 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 41,016 | 100.0 |
General election
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Ron Kind (incumbent) | 257,401 | 98.9 | |
Republican | Ryan Peterson (write-in) | 169 | 0.1 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 2,800 | 1.0 | |
Total votes | 260,370 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
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Precinct results Moore: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Raymond: 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic incumbent Gwen Moore, who had represented the 4th district since 2005, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 70.2% of the vote in 2014 and the district had a PVI of D+23.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Gwen Moore, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Gary George, former state senator[33]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gwen Moore (incumbent) | 55,256 | 84.5 | |
Democratic | Gary George | 10,013 | 15.3 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 128 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 65,397 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
Candidates
Declined
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Andy Craig, political activist and 2014 candidate for Secretary of State of Wisconsin[34][35]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | Andy Craig | 127 | 100.0 |
General election
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Gwen Moore (incumbent) | 220,181 | 76.7 | |
Independent | Robert Raymond | 33,494 | 11.7 | |
Libertarian | Andy Craig | 32,183 | 11.2 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 1,051 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 286,909 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5
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Precinct results Sensenbrenner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Penebaker: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican incumbent Jim Sensenbrenner, who had represented the 5th district since 1978, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69.5% of the vote in 2014 and the district had a PVI of R+13.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Sensenbrenner, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | James Sensenbrenner (incumbent) | 34,203 | 99.7 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 100 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 34,303 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Khary Penebaker, businessman and entrepreneur[36]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Khary Penebaker | 19,353 | 99.4 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 115 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 19,468 | 100.0 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- John Arndt[37]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Libertarian | John Arndt | 243 | 98.4 | |
Libertarian | Write-ins | 4 | 1.6 | |
Total votes | 247 | 100.0 |
General election
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | James Sensenbrenner (incumbent) | 260,706 | 66.7 | |
Democratic | Khary Penebaker | 114,477 | 29.3 | |
Libertarian | John Arndt | 15,324 | 3.9 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 337 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 390,844 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 6
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Precinct results Grothman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lloyd: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman who had represented the 6th district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 56.8% of the vote in 2014 and the district has a PVI of R+5.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Glenn Grothman, incumbent U.S. Representative
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Glenn Grothman (incumbent) | 29,795 | 99.6 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 105 | 0.4 | |
Total votes | 29,900 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sarah Lloyd, farmer[38]
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Slattery, farmer[39]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Sarah Lloyd | 19,652 | 75.1 | |
Democratic | Michael Slattery | 6,459 | 24.7 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 43 | 0.2 | |
Total votes | 26,154 | 100.0 |
General election
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Glenn Grothman (incumbent) | 204,147 | 57.1 | |
Democratic | Sarah Lloyd | 133,072 | 37.3 | |
Independent | Jeff Dahlke | 19,716 | 5.5 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 248 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 357,183 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 7
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Precinct results Duffy: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hoeft: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican incumbent Sean Duffy, who had represented the 7th district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2014 and the district has a PVI of R+2.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sean Duffy, incumbent U.S. Representative
Eliminated in primary
- Don Raihala, small business owner[40]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sean Duffy (incumbent) | 29,501 | 89.4 | |
Republican | Don Raihala | 3,456 | 10.5 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 24 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 32,981 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mary Hoeft, university professor[40]
Eliminated in primary
- Joel Lewis, Marathon County Board Supervisor[40]
Withdrawn
Declined
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Mary Hoeft | 27,289 | 80.6 | |
Democratic | Joel Lewis | 6,531 | 19.3 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 50 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 33,870 | 100.0 |
General election
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sean Duffy (incumbent) | 223,418 | 61.6 | |
Democratic | Mary Hoeft | 138,643 | 38.3 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 210 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 362,271 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 8
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Precinct results Gallagher: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Nelson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican incumbent Reid Ribble, who had represented the 8th district since 2011, announced on January 30, 2016 that he would retire at the end of his third term, opening the seat for the 2016 election.[44] The district had a PVI of R+2.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mike Gallagher, retired U.S. Marine and former advisor to Governor Scott Walker[45]
Eliminated in primary
- Frank Lasee, state senator[46]
- Terry McNulty, Forestville, Wisconsin village president, Southern Door School Board member[47]
Withdrawn
- Gary Schomburg, former Hilbert, WI village board member[48]
Declined
- Andre Jacque, state representative[46]
- John Macco, state representative[49]
- John Nygren, state representative[50]
- Roger Roth, state senator[51]
- David Steffen, state representative[52]* Jim Steineke, Majority Leader of State Assembly[53]
- Chad Weininger, former state representative[54]
Endorsements
- U.S. Representatives
- Reid Ribble, 8th District incumbent[55]
- State legislators
- Organizations
- Individuals
- John R. Bolton, former ambassador to the United Nations[59][60]
- Michael T. Flynn, retired Lieutenant General and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency[61]
- Carl Higbie, former Navy SEAL[61]
- Organizations
- Pro-Life Wisconsin Victory Fund[57]
- Organizations
- Wisconsin Family Action PAC[62]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Gallagher | 40,322 | 74.5 | |
Republican | Frank Lasee | 10,705 | 19.8 | |
Republican | Terry McNulty | 3,109 | 5.7 | |
Republican | Write-ins | 16 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 54,152 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tom Nelson, County Executive of Outagamie County and former state representative[63]
Declined
- Penny Bernard Schaber, former state representative[64]
- Eric Genrich, state representative[53]
- Steve Kagen, former U.S. Representative[64]
- Jamie Wall, businessman, nominee for this seat in 2012 and candidate in 2006[65]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tom Nelson | 20,914 | 99.9 | |
Democratic | Write-ins | 28 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 20,942 | 100.0 |
Independent
General election
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Gallagher (R) |
Tom Nelson (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NMB Research | October 16–18, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 41% | 17% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gallagher) | August 22, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[68] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
Daily Kos Elections[69] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
Rothenberg[70] | Likely R | November 3, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[71] | Lean R | November 7, 2016 |
RCP[72] | Lean R | October 31, 2016 |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Gallagher | 227,892 | 62.6 | |
Democratic | Tom Nelson | 135,682 | 37.3 | |
Green | Wendy Gribben (write-in) | 16 | 0.0 | |
Democratic | Jerry Kobishop (write-in) | 2 | 0.0 | |
n/a | Write-ins | 188 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 363,280 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
References
- ^ Tatge-Rozell, Jill. "Delavan businessman to challenge Ryan". Kenosha News. March 31, 2016.
- ^ "Republican businessman challenges Paul Ryan for congressional seat". Wisconsin State Journal. April 9, 2016.
- ^ "Paul Nehlen Has Never Donated to Paul Ryan". Media Trackers. Archived from the original on August 8, 2016.
- ^ "Challenger hopes to oust Rep. Paul Ryan in primary". Janesville Gazette. April 12, 2016.
- ^ Nehlen, Paul. "Issues". Paul Nehlen. Retrieved July 10, 2016.
- ^ Nolan McCaskill (May 5, 2016). "Paul Ryan's primary opponent: I'll support Trump". Politico. Retrieved May 8, 2016.
- ^ "Master of 'scam PACs' now targeting 'establishment' Paul Ryan". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
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