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Dennis M. Nagy

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Dennis M. Nagy
Born(1943-05-22)May 22, 1943
Indiana, Pennsylvania, U.S.
DiedAugust 5, 2023(2023-08-05) (aged 80)
AllegianceUnited States
Service/branchUSAF 1965–1966, DIA 1969–1991
Years of serviceUSAF 1965–1966, DIA 1969–1991
Rank2nd Lieutenant
Commands heldActing Director, Defense Intelligence Agency

Dennis Mark Nagy (May 22, 1943 – August 5, 2023) was an American intelligence analyst who was acting Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency from September 1991 to November 1991.[1][2]

YouTube Encyclopedic

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Transcription

In the 1920's, the German mathematician David Hilbert devised a famous thought experiment to show us just how hard it is to wrap our minds around the concept of infinity. Imagine a hotel with an infinite number of rooms and a very hardworking night manager. One night, the Infinite Hotel is completely full, totally booked up with an infinite number of guests. A man walks into the hotel and asks for a room. Rather than turn him down, the night manager decides to make room for him. How? Easy, he asks the guest in room number 1 to move to room 2, the guest in room 2 to move to room 3, and so on. Every guest moves from room number "n" to room number "n+1". Since there are an infinite number of rooms, there is a new room for each existing guest. This leaves room 1 open for the new customer. The process can be repeated for any finite number of new guests. If, say, a tour bus unloads 40 new people looking for rooms, then every existing guest just moves from room number "n" to room number "n+40", thus, opening up the first 40 rooms. But now an infinitely large bus with a countedly infinite number of passengers pulls up to rent rooms. Countedly infinite is the key. Now, the infinite bus of infinite passengers perplexes the night manager at first, but he realizes there's a way to place each new person. He asks the guest in room 1 to move to room 2. He then asks the guest in room 2 to move to room 4, the guest in room 3 to move to room 6, and so one. Each current guest moves from room number "n" to room number "2n", filling up only the infinite even-numbered rooms. By doing this, he has now emptied all of the infinitely many odd-numbered rooms, which are then taken by the people filing off the infinite bus. Everyone's happy and the hotel's business is booming more than ever. Well, actually, it is booming exactly the same amount as ever, banking an infinite number of dollars a night. Word spreads about this incredible hotel. People pour in from far and wide. One night, the unthinkable happens. The night manager looks outside and sees an infinite line of infinitely large buses, each with a countedly infinite number of passengers. What can he do? If he cannot find rooms for them, the hotel will lose out on an infinite amount of money, and he will surely lose his job. Luckily, he remembers that around the year 300 B.C.E., Euclid proved that there is an infinite quantity of prime numbers. So, to accomplish this seemingly impossible task of finding infinite beds for infinite buses of infinite weary travelers, the night manager assigns every current guest to the first prime number, 2, raised to the power of their current room number. So, the current occupant of room number 7 goes to room number 2^7, which is room 128. The night manager then takes the people on the first of the infinite buses and assigns them to the room number of the next prime, 3, raised to the power of their seat number on the bus. So, the person in seat number 7 on the first bus goes to room number 3^7 or room number 2,187. This continues for all of the first bus. The passengers on the second bus are assigned powers of the next prime, 5. The following bus, powers of 7. Each bus follows: powers of 11, powers of 13, powers of 17, etc. Since each of these numbers only has 1 and the natural number powers of their prime number base as factors, there are no overlapping room numbers. All the buses' passengers fan out into rooms using unique room assignment schemes based on unique prime numbers. In this way, the night manager can accomodate every passenger on every bus. Although, there will be many rooms that go unfilled, like room 6 since 6 is not a power of any prime number. Luckily, his bosses weren't very good in math, so his job is safe. The night manager's strategies are only possible because while the Infinite Hotel is certainly a logistical nightmare, it only deals with the lowest level of infinity, mainly, the countable infinity of the natural numbers, 1, 2, 3, 4, and so on. Georg Cantor called this level of infinity aleph-zero. We use natural numbers for the room numbers as well as the seat numbers on the buses. If we were dealing with higher orders of infinity, such as that of the real numbers, these structured strategies would no longer be possible as we have no way to systematically include every number. The Real Number Infinite Hotel has negative number rooms in the basement, fractional rooms, so the guy in room 1/2 always suspects he has less room than the guy in room 1. Square root rooms, like room radical 2 and room pi, where the guests expect free dessert. What self-respecting night manager would ever want to work there even for an infinite salary? But over at Hilbert's Infinite Hotel, where there's never any vacancy and always room for more, the scenarios faced by the ever diligent and maybe too hospitable night manager serve to remind us of just how hard it is for our relatively finite minds to grasp a concept as large as infinity. Maybe you can help tackle these problems after a good night's sleep. But honestly, we might need you to change rooms at 2 a.m.

Background

Nagy, who was of Hungarian ancestry, attended the United States Air Force Academy and graduated in 1965 with a bachelor of science degree in international relations and a commission in the U.S. Air Force as 2nd Lt. He served as a pilot in the Air Force from 1965 to 1966, then attended graduate school at Georgetown University in International Relations. He began at the Defense Intelligence Agency in July 1969 as an intelligence analyst.

First assignment

His first permanent assignment was in 1970 with the newly formed Directorate of Estimates (DE). During a succession of progressively responsible assignments in DE, Nagy focused on Soviet strategic nuclear and space forces and on policy and doctrinal issues; he was the principal drafter of numerous departmental and national estimates. His service with DE culminated in being selected twice by the Director of Central Intelligence’s National Intelligence Officer for Strategic Programs as manager of the annual National Intelligence Estimate for Soviet Strategic Nuclear Forces. In late 1980, Nagy became a DIA executive and was selected to be the first deputy vice director for overall management of program development for estimative, basic, and scientific and technical intelligence production. During several extended periods, Nagy served as the acting vice director.

Soviet Military Power

In 1981, Nagy personally directed the development of the first issue of Soviet Military Power, DoD’s annual publication on Soviet military policies and forces. In September 1982, Nagy became a charter member of the Defense Intelligence Senior Executive Service. In 1985, Nagy was appointed to the position of Assistant Deputy Director for Research. In this capacity, he held the position of chief of the Directorate for Research (DB), DIA’s largest single military intelligence production organization. He also served as the General Defense Intelligence Program (GDIP) functional manager for general military intelligence and as the chairman of the Council of Defense Intelligence Producers and the Military Targeting Committee. From there, Nagy was appointed to the position of executive director, DIA, elevating him to the Agency’s command element and ranking him as the Agency’s senior civilian. Nagy was appointed deputy director and became acting director in September 1991.[3]

Director

Nagy was appointed acting director for the interim period from September through November 1991, the first civilian ever placed in that position. As acting director, he provided continuity during a critical time when decrements against Agency resources caused reconsideration of many managerial issues and review of traditional threat priorities throughout the Defense Intelligence Community. He served until Lieutenant General James R. Clapper, Jr., USAF, assumed the directorship.[4]

Death

Dennis M. Nagy died on August 5, 2023, at the age of 80.[5]

References

  1. ^ "Dennis Nagay". Public Background Checks. Archived from the original on 2016-03-04. Retrieved 2011-05-04.
  2. ^ "Dennis M. Nagy". Defense Intelligence Agency. Retrieved February 6, 2022.
  3. ^ "Soviet Military Power video". Press Release Point. Retrieved February 6, 2022.
  4. ^ "biography of Nagy". Defense Intelligence Agency. Archived from the original on 1 March 2010.
  5. ^ "Dennis Mark Nagy Obituary". Money & King Funeral Home and Cremation Services. Money & King. Retrieved 9 August 2023.
This page was last edited on 25 September 2023, at 10:12
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